2022 PA 17 – US House Race

2022 PA 17 – US House Race 2

Summary

Democrat Conor Lamb, who has represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 51.1% of the vote in 2020.  He is retiring to run for Senate.

The boundaries of the district were determined during the 2020 redistricting cycle.

Source: Wikipedia

OnAir Post: 2022 PA 17 – US House Race

Chris Deluzio

Chris Deluzio 1

i

Current Position: Lawyer, Policy Director at Pitt Cyber and previously at the Brennan Center for Justice.
Affiliation: Democrat
Candidate: 2022 US Representative for District 17
Former Position(s): Oficer in the Navy

Our democracy is in peril. From limitless corporate money running through our political system, to the January 6 insurrection at the Capitol, to Republican voter suppression efforts in Harrisburg and across the country, and gerrymandered maps that serve politicians instead of the people – we need bold action to protect and strengthen our democracy.

Chris is deeply committed to defending our democracy and freedom to vote, going back to the oath of office he first took as a 17-year old at the Naval Academy in Annapolis, through his work at Pitt Cyber and the Brennan Center to defend our voting rights and elections. He will support legislation like the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act and the Freedom to Vote Act, and he knows we need to overturn the Supreme Court’s disastrous ruling in Citizens United that opened the door to limitless corporate money in politics. Chris believes we’re all served better by impartial and fair maps, not gerrymandered ones. He won’t shy from a fight with those on the radical right w

Jeremy Shaffer

Jeremy Shaffer 1

i

Current Position: President and Co-Founder of InspectTech
Affiliation: Republican
Candidate: 2022 US Representative for District 17
Former Position(s): Ross Township Commissioner

Jeremy is a proven leader in business and our community. He stands for efficient government that defends our freedoms and provides opportunities for all. Jeremy married his high school classmate and prom date Stacey.

They have been blessed with five children born and raised here in Western Pennsylvania. Jeremy is passionate about working to make our community and country even better. Jeremy earned a Ph.D. in Electrical and Computer Engineering from Carnegie Mellon while his wife, Stacey, completed her Medical Residency and Fellowship at the University of Pittsburgh.

Wikipedia

Edit links

For related races, see 2022 United States House of Representatives elections.

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The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the seventeen seats in Pennsylvania (reduced from 18 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census).

Pennsylvania's legislature enacted new district maps in January 2022, which were promptly vetoed by Governor Tom Wolf. The state supreme court took control of the process and selected a map in February 2022. After the court rejected several legal challenges in March, the new district boundaries were used in the May 2022 primary elections.[1][2]

Despite losing the popular vote, with two Republican and one Democratic incumbents running unopposed, Democrats won the majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. As a result, Pennsylvania was one of only two states in which the party that won the state's popular vote did not win a majority of seats in 2022, the other state being Nevada.

District 1

See also: Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district

The 1st district is based in the northern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Bucks County and parts of Montgomery County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 5 points in 2020. Republican Brian Fitzpatrick, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 54.9% of the vote.[4]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Alex Entin, procurement manager[7]
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[6]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 60,502 65.6
RepublicanAlex Entin31,77234.4
Total votes92,274 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Ashley Ehasz
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[18]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Ashley Ehasz Unopposed
Total votes79,546 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Disqualified
  • Caroline Avery, personal antiquities buyer (originally ran as a Republican)[24]

Endorsements

Caroline Avery
Organizations

Green Party

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RMay 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RAugust 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Likely RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Likely ROctober 3, 2022
RCP[32]Lean RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Likely RAugust 22, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Likely RSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
Organizations
Ashley Ehasz (D)
Organizations
Newspapers

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Brian
Fitzpatrick (R)		Ashley
Ehasz (D)		OtherUndecided
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[A]September 5–8, 2022400 (LV)± 4.0%55%35%–10%
RMG ResearchJuly 22–29, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%42%35%10%13%
Public Policy Polling (D) Archived June 27, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[B]June 24–25, 2022626 (LV)± 3.9%45%38%–18%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanBrian Fitzpatrick (incumbent) 201,571 54.9
DemocraticAshley Ehasz165,80945.1
Total votes367,380 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

See also: Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district

The 2nd district is based in central and northeastern Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+22 and voted for Joe Biden by 43 points in 2020. Democrat Brendan Boyle, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 75.7% of the vote.[41]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Brendan Boyle
Labor unions
Organizations

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Brendan
Boyle		Sharif
Street		Undecided
MuniciPoll (D)[C]December 4–7, 2021939 (LV)± 3.2%58%18%24%

Results

Democratic primary results[42]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Brendan Boyle (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes53,825 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[48]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Aaron Bashir Unopposed
Total votes11,796 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid DFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid DMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe DMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticBrendan Boyle (incumbent) 141,229 75.7
RepublicanAaron Bashir45,45424.3
Total votes186,683 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

See also: Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district

The 3rd district is based in west and south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+40, making it the second most democratic leaning district in the nation (behind NY-13), and voted for Joe Biden by 81 points. Democrat Dwight Evans, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 with 95.1% of the vote.[49]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Dwight Evans
Labor unions
Organizations
Alexandra Hunt
Individuals

Results

Democratic primary results[50]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDwight Evans (incumbent) 97,709 75.7
DemocraticAlexandra Hunt25,71219.9
DemocraticMichael Cogbill5,7284.4
Total votes129,149 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Socialist Workers Party

Qualified for ballot
  • Christopher Hoeppner, freight train conductor[57][58]

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid DFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid DMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe DMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDwight Evans (incumbent) 251,115 95.1
Socialist WorkersChristopher Hoeppner12,8204.9
Total votes263,935 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

See also: Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district

The 4th district is based in the western suburbs of Philadelphia, including most of Montgomery County and parts of Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+7 and voted for Joe Biden by 19 points in 2020. Democrat Madeleine Dean, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.3% of the vote in the general election.[59]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Madeleine Dean
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[61]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Madeleine Dean (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes96,876 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Daniel Burton

Results

Republican primary results[65]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanChristian Nascimento 47,192 68.8
RepublicanDaniel Burton21,37831.2
Total votes68,570 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid DFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid DMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe DMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Madeleine Dean (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Christian Nascimento (R)
Organizations

Log Cabin Republicans[72]

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMadeleine Dean (incumbent) 224,799 61.3
RepublicanChristian Nascimento141,98638.7
Total votes366,785 100.0
Democratic hold

District 5

See also: Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district

The 5th district is based in the southwestern suburbs of Philadelphia, including all of Delaware County, parts of Montgomery County, and parts of south Philadelphia. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+14 and voted for Joe Biden by 32 points in 2020. Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon, who had represented the district since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 65.1% of the vote in the general election.[73]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mary Gay Scanlon
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[76]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Mary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes79,816 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[78]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican David Galluch Unopposed
Total votes55,770 100.0

Independent and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Filed paperwork

General election

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district candidate forum
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited W  Withdrawn
Mary Gay ScanlonDavid Galluch
1Oct. 10, 2022League of Women Voters
of Delaware County
League of Women Voters
of Lower Merion & Narberth		Jamie MogilYouTubePP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid DFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid DMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe DMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid DApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe DJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid DJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe DSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMary Gay Scanlon (incumbent) 205,128 65.1
RepublicanDavid Galluch110,05834.9
Total votes315,186 100.0
Democratic hold

District 6

See also: Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district

The 6th district includes all of Chester County and the city of Reading in Berks County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+5 and voted for Joe Biden by 15 points in 2020. Democrat Chrissy Houlahan, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 58.3% of the vote in the general election.[80]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[82]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Chrissy Houlahan (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes71,950 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Steve Fanelli, businessman[88]
  • Regina Mauro, businesswoman[89]
  • Ron Vogel, realtor[90]

Endorsements

Regina Mauro
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[87]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGuy Ciarrochi 23,369 33.1
RepublicanSteve Fanelli21,14629.9
RepublicanRon Vogel15,62822.1
RepublicanRegina Mauro10,56514.9
Total votes70,708 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited W  Withdrawn
Chrissy HoulahanGuy Ciarrocchi
1Oct. 25, 2022Greater Reading
Unity Coalition		Anthony OrozcoYouTubePP

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid DFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid DMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Likely DMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Likely DApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Lean DOctober 17, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid DJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Likely DNovember 1, 2022
538[35]Solid DJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Likely DNovember 1, 2022

Endorsements

Chrissy Houlahan (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Guy Ciarrocchi
Statewide officials
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Organizations

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChrissy Houlahan (incumbent) 190,386 58.3
RepublicanGuy Ciarrocchi136,09741.7
Total votes326,483 100.0
Democratic hold

District 7

See also: Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district

The 7th district is based in the Lehigh Valley, including all of Lehigh, Northampton, and Carbon counties and a small sliver of Monroe County. The district was modestly altered by redistricting, losing Stroudsburg in exchange for Carbon County.[3] This made the district more conservative, with a PVI of R+2, but it voted for Joe Biden by 0.6 points in 2020. Democrat Susan Wild, a representative since 2018, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 51.0% of the vote.[97]

During the campaign, a research firm contracted by the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee inappropriately obtained the military records of candidate Kevin Dellicker.[98]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Susan Wild
Organizations
Labor unions

Results

Democratic primary results[100]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Susan Wild (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes63,817 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew

Endorsements

Lisa Scheller
Executive branch officials
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[107]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLisa Scheller 34,504 51.3
RepublicanKevin Dellicker32,71348.7
Total votes67,217 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]TossupOctober 5, 2022
Inside Elections[29]TossupMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Lean R (flip)November 7, 2022
Politico[31]TossupApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Lean R (flip)June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Lean R (flip)July 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]TossupJuly 20, 2022
538[35]TossupAugust 3, 2022
The Economist[36]TossupSeptember 28, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Susan
Wild (D)		Lisa
Scheller (R)		OtherUndecided
Muhlenberg CollegeOctober 12–14, 2022404 (LV)± 6.0%47%46%4%4%
RMG ResearchJuly 31 – August 5, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%43%47%2%8%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSusan Wild (incumbent) 151,364 51.0
RepublicanLisa Scheller145,52749.0
Total votes296,891 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

See also: Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district

The 8th district is based in Northeast Pennsylvania, specifically the Wyoming Valley and Pocono Mountains, including all of Lackawanna, Wayne, and Pike counties, and most of Luzerne and Monroe counties. The district added Stroudsburg in redistricting, making it slightly more liberal.[3] It has a PVI of R+4 and voted for Donald Trump by 3 points in 2020. Democrat Matt Cartwright, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 garnering 51.2% of the vote in the general election.[114]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Matt Cartwright
Organizations
Labor unions

Results

Democratic primary results[116]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Matt Cartwright (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes68,696 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Jim Bognet
U.S. Executive Branch officials

Results

Republican primary results[119]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJim Bognet 47,097 68.7
RepublicanMichael Marsicano21,43631.3
Total votes68,533 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]TossupFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]TossupMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Lean R (flip)November 7, 2022
Politico[31]TossupApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Lean R (flip)June 9, 2022
Fox News[33]TossupJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]TossupOctober 1, 2022
538[35]TossupNovember 8, 2022
The Economist[36]TossupSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Matt Cartwright (D)
Organizations
Labor unions
Jim Bognet (R)
Executive branch officials
Organizations

Debates and forums

2022 PA-8 debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
BognetCartwright
1October 20, 2022WVIA-TVLarry VojtkoC-SPANPP

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		Dates
administered		Dates
updated		Matt
Cartwright (D)		Jim
Bognet (R)		Undecided
[b]		Margin
FiveThirtyEightJune 23 – October 28, 2022October 31, 202248.1%45.0%6.9%Cartwright +3.1
Graphical summary
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Matt
Cartwright (D)		Jim
Bognet (R)		Undecided
Siena College/The New York TimesOctober 19–20, 2022415 (LV)–50%44%6%
Patriot PollingOctober 7–9, 2022289 (RV)–40%43%17%
GQR Research (D)[D]September 12–15, 2022400 (LV)± 4.0%52%44%3%
Cygnal (R) Archived September 16, 2022, at the Wayback Machine[E]September 6–8, 2022440 (LV)–48%48%4%
GQR Research (D)[D]August 2–9, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%46%1%
Cygnal (R)[E]June 23–25, 2022400 (LV)± 4.7%45%46%9%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Undecided
GQR Research (D)[D]August 2–9, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%49%48%3%
Cygnal (R)[E]June 23–25, 2022400 (LV)± 4.7%44%49%7%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMatt Cartwright (incumbent) 146,956 51.2
RepublicanJim Bognet139,93048.8
Total votes286,886 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

See also: Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district

The 9th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania east of the Appalachian Divide, including Williamsport, Bloomsburg, and Lebanon. The district kept most of its territory and added much of the now defunct 12th district in redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of R+21 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Dan Meuser, who had represented the district since 2019, was re-elected with 66.3% of the vote in 2020.[131] Meuser is running for re-election. Republican Fred Keller, who had represented the 12th district since 2019, was re-elected with 70.8% of the vote in 2020 and redistricted into the 15th district, but switched to run in the 9th district.[132] However, on February 28, Keller announced that he would retire instead of go through a primary against Meuser.[133] Meuser went on to win the general election in 2022, garnering 69.3% of the vote.[134]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Endorsements

Dan Meuser
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[136]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Dan Meuser (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes102,180 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Amanda Waldman, Medicare financial representative[137][138]

Results

Democratic primary results[138]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Amanda Waldman Unopposed
Total votes41,622 100.0

Independents and third-party candidates

Libertarian Party

Withdrawn

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28][142]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Dan Meuser (R)
Organizations
Newspapers
Amanda Waldman (D)
Labor unions

Debates and forums

2022 PA-9 debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
MeuserWaldman
1October 21, 2022WVIA-TVLarry VojtkoPAhomepagePP

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanDan Meuser (incumbent) 209,185 69.3
DemocraticAmanda Waldman92,62230.7
Total votes301,807 100.0
Republican hold

District 10

See also: Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district

The 10th district is based in the Harrisburg and York areas, including all of Dauphin County, most of Cumberland County, and the northern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+5 and voted for Donald Trump by 4 points in 2020. Republican Scott Perry, who had represented the district since 2013, was most recently re-elected in 2022 winning 53.8% of the vote.[145]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Did not file
  • Brian Allen, clinical psychologist[147]

Endorsements

Scott Perry
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[146]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Scott Perry (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes84,646 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[151]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticShamaine Daniels 32,260 52.6
DemocraticRick Coplen29,12847.4
Total votes61,388 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RMay 26, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RApril 19, 2022
Politico[31]Likely RNovember 3, 2022
RCP[32]Likely RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Likely RSeptember 28, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Scott
Perry (R)		Shamaine
Daniels (D)		Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[F]August 9–10, 2022714 (LV)± 3.7%41%44%15%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanScott Perry (incumbent) 169,331 53.8
DemocraticShamaine Daniels145,21546.2
Total votes314,546 100.0
Republican hold

District 11

See also: Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district

The 11th district is based in Pennsylvania Dutch Country, including all of Lancaster County and the southern half of York County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+14 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Lloyd Smucker, who had represented the district since 2017, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 61.5% of the vote.[156]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Lloyd Smucker
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[157]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Lloyd Smucker (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes96,886 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Bob Hollister
Trade unions

Results

Democratic primary results[162]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Democratic Bob Hollister Unopposed
Total votes46,080 100.0

Independents and other parties

Libertarian Party

Failed to qualify for ballot

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Endorsements

Lloyd Smucker (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations
Bob Hollister (D)
U.S. Senators
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Trade unions

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanLloyd Smucker (incumbent) 194,991 61.5
DemocraticBob Hollister121,83538.5
Total votes316,826 100.0
Republican hold

District 12

See also: Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district and Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district

The 12th district is based in the city of Pittsburgh and its eastern and southern suburbs, including parts of Allegheny and Westmoreland counties. The district was numbered the 18th district before redistricting, with the old 12th district now eliminated. The district expanded into parts of Westmoreland County due to redistricting.[3] It has a PVI of D+8 and voted for Joe Biden by 20 points in 2020. Democrat Mike Doyle has represented the district since 1995. He was re-elected with 69.3% of the vote in 2020.[131] Doyle announced that he will not seek re-election in 2022.[166] He was succeeded in Congress by Pennsylvania State House Representative Summer Lee who was elected with 56.2% of the vote.[167]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrew
Declined

Endorsements

Jerry Dickinson
Party officials
Organizations
Steve Irwin
Executive Branch officials
Governors
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Summer Lee
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Political parties
Organizations

Debates and forums

2022 PA-12 Democratic primary debates and forums
No.DateHostModeratorLinkParticipants
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee W  Withdrawn
DickinsonIrwinLeeParkerWoodard
1[211]May 10, 2022Pittsburgh's Action News 4Shannon PerrineYoutubePPPPP

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Jerry
Dickinson		Steve
Irwin		Summer
Lee		Will
Parker		Jeff
Woodard		Undecided
Mercury Public Affairs (D)Late April 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%–30%29%–––
GQR Research (D)[G]March 26–31, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%7%13%38%0%2%40%

Results

Democratic primary results[212]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSummer Lee 48,002 41.9
DemocraticSteve Irwin47,01441.0
DemocraticJerry Dickinson12,44010.9
DemocraticJeff Woodard5,4544.8
DemocraticWilliam Parker1,6701.5
Total votes114,580 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[214]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Doyle[c] Unopposed
Total votes39,531 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Likely DJune 28, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Likely DNovember 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Likely DOctober 19, 2022
Politico[31]Lean DNovember 3, 2022
RCP[32]Lean DNovember 1, 2022
Fox News[33]Likely DOctober 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Likely DOctober 28, 2022
538[35]Solid DOctober 27, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe DNovember 5, 2022

Endorsements

Summer Lee (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Political parties
Organizations

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Summer
Lee (D)		Mike
Doyle (R)		Undecided
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[H]October 30–31, 2022785 (LV)± 3.5%54%40%6%
Summer Lee Internal Poll (D)October 2022––44%40%16%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticSummer Lee 184,674 56.2
RepublicanMike Doyle[c]143,94643.8
Total votes328,620 100.0
Democratic hold

District 13

See also: Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district

The 13th district is based in South Central Pennsylvania, including Johnstown, Altoona, and Gettysburg. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose its territory in Somerset and Westmoreland counties in exchange for Johnstown.[3] The district has a PVI of R+25 and voted for Donald Trump by 45 points in 2020. Republican John Joyce, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 after being unopposed in the primary and general elections.[218]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[219]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes114,160 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[220]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticMark Critz (write-in) 967 100.0
Total votes967 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican John Joyce (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes260,345 100.0
Republican hold

District 14

See also: Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district

The 14th district is based in Southwest Pennsylvania, including all of Washington, Greene, and Fayette counties, most of Indiana and Somerset counties, and parts of Westmoreland County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did have to expand eastward to take in more population.[3] It has a PVI of R+18 and voted for Donald Trump by 32 points in 2020. Republican Guy Reschenthaler, who had represented the district since 2019, was most recently re-elected in 2022 having been unopposed in the primary and general elections.[223]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Guy Reschenthaler
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[224]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes81,243 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Guy Reschenthaler (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes230,865 100.0
Republican hold

District 15

See also: Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district

The 15th district is based in North Central Pennsylvania west of the Appalachian Divide, including State College, Lock Haven, and Bradford. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting, though it did lose Johnstown in exchange for the parts of State College formerly in the 12th district.[3] It has a PVI of R+20 and voted for Donald Trump by 37 points in 2020. Republican Glenn Thompson, who had represented the district since 2009, was most recently re-elected in 2022, receiving 69.9% of the vote.[226]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Declined

Endorsements

Glenn Thompson
Organizations
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[227]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Glenn Thompson (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes99,270 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanGlenn Thompson (incumbent) 213,417 69.9
DemocraticMike Molesevich91,72930.1
Total votes305,146 100.0
Republican hold

District 16

See also: Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district

The 16th district is based in Northwest Pennsylvania, including all of Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, and Butler counties and parts of Venango County.[3] The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting. It has a PVI of R+13 and voted for Donald Trump by 21 points in 2020. Republican Mike Kelly, who had represented the district since 2011, was most recently re-elected in 2022, winning 59.4% of the vote in the general election.[230]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Mike Kelly
U.S. U.S. Executive Branch officials
Organizations

Results

Republican primary results[232]
PartyCandidateVotes%
Republican Mike Kelly (incumbent) Unopposed
Total votes87,028 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Endorsements

Dan Pastore
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[235]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticDan Pastore 44,262 69.1
DemocraticRick Telesz19,78830.9
Total votes64,050 100.0

General election

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]Solid RFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]Solid RMarch 11, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Safe RMarch 2, 2022
Politico[31]Solid RApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Safe RJune 9, 2022
Fox News[33]Solid RJuly 11, 2022
DDHQ[34]Solid RJuly 20, 2022
538[35]Solid RJune 30, 2022
The Economist[36]Safe RSeptember 28, 2022

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanMike Kelly (incumbent) 190,546 59.4
DemocraticDan Pastore130,44340.6
Total votes320,989 100.0
Republican hold

District 17

See also: Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district

The 17th district is based in the western and northern suburbs of Pittsburgh, including parts of Allegheny County and all of Beaver County. The district was mostly unchanged by redistricting.[3] It has an even PVI and voted for Joe Biden by 6 points in 2020. Democrat Conor Lamb, who represented the district since 2018, was re-elected in 2020 with 51.1% of the vote.[131] He retired to run for the U.S. Senate in 2022.[237] Lamb was succeeded by former Navy Officer Chris Deluzio, who was elected in 2022 by winning 53.4% of the vote in the general election.[238]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Chris Deluzio
Organizations

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district democratic primary candidate forum
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticDemocratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited W  Withdrawn
Chris DeluzioSean Meloy
1Apr. 23, 2022League of Women Voters
of Great Pittsburgh
Robert Morris University		Kristen DavisYouTubePP

Results

Democratic primary results[240]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Deluzio 62,389 63.6
DemocraticSean Meloy35,63836.4
Total votes98,027 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Did not appear on ballot
  • Tricia Staible, manufacturing company president[247]
Declined

Forum

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district republican primary candidate forum
No.DateHostModeratorLinkRepublicanRepublicanRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited W  Withdrawn
Kathy CoderJason KillmeyerJeremy Shaffer
1Apr. 23, 2022League of Women Voters
of Great Pittsburgh
Robert Morris University		Kristen DavisYouTubePPA

Results

Republican primary results[246]
PartyCandidateVotes%
RepublicanJeremy Shaffer 40,965 58.7
RepublicanJason Killmeyer16,80124.0
RepublicanKathy Coder12,07917.3
Total votes69,845 100.0

General election

Debate

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district debate
No.DateHostModeratorLinkDemocraticRepublican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited W  Withdrawn
Chris DeluzioJeremy Shaffer
1Nov. 2, 2022KDKA-TVKen RiceYouTubePP

Endorsements

Chris Deluzio (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
Statewide officials
Organizations
U.S. Representatives
Jeremy Shaffer (R)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Predictions

SourceRankingAs of
The Cook Political Report[28]TossupFebruary 23, 2022
Inside Elections[29]TossupAugust 25, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[30]Lean R (flip)November 7, 2022
Politico[31]TossupApril 5, 2022
RCP[32]Lean R (flip)October 21, 2022
Fox News[33]Lean R (flip)November 1, 2022
DDHQ[34]Lean R (flip)October 31, 2022
538[35]TossupOctober 25, 2022
The Economist[36]TossupNovember 1, 2022

Polling

Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Chris
Deluzio (D)		Jeremy
Shaffer (R)		Undecided
Brilliant Corners Research & Strategies (D)[I]September 18–20, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%49%43%8%
Lake Research Partners (D)[J]July 18–21, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%43%42%15%
RMG ResearchJune 4–6, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%44%44%12%
DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department (D)[H]May 9–10, 2022494 (LV)± 4.4%44%41%16%
Hypothetical polling
Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
Poll sourceDate(s)
administered		Sample
size[a]		Margin
of error		Generic
Democrat		Generic
Republican		Undecided
Change Research (D)[K]October 19, 2022––45%44%11%

Results

2022 Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district election[40]
PartyCandidateVotes%
DemocraticChris Deluzio 193,615 53.4
RepublicanJeremy Shaffer169,01346.6
Total votes362,628 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  3. ^ a b c No relation to Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle
  4. ^ The 18th district was eliminated in redistricting. Retiring 18th district Democratic incumbent Mike Doyle lived within the boundaries of the new 12th district. Retiring 12th district Republican incumbent Fred Keller did not live within the boundaries of the new 12th district.
Partisan clients
  1. ^ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Fitzpatrick's campaign committee
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Ehasz's campaign and analyzed by Global Strategy Group
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by Boyle's campaign
  4. ^ a b c This poll was sponsored by Cartwright's campaign
  5. ^ a b c Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Bognet's campaign committee
  6. ^ This poll was sponsored by Daniels's campaign
  7. ^ Poll sponsored by EMILY's List, which supports Lee
  8. ^ a b This poll was conducted in-house by and for the DCCC
  9. ^ This poll was sponsored by the DCCC Targeting and Analytics Department
  10. ^ This poll was sponsored by Deluzio's campaign
  11. ^ This poll was sponsored by the House Majority PAC

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source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections_in_Pennsylvania#District_17

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